Rational expectations is a theory in economics originally proposed by John F. Muth (1961) and later developed by Robert E. Lucas Jr. It is used to model how economic agents forecast future events. Modeling expectations is of central importance in economic models, especially those of new classical macroeconomics, new Keynesian macroeconomics, and finance. For example, a firm's decision on the level of wages to set in the coming year will be influenced by the expected level of inflation, and the value of a share of stock is dependent on the expected future income from that stock.
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The idea that people rationally anticipate the future and respond today to what they see ahead. This concept was pioneered by Nobel Laureate, Robert E. Lucas, Jr.
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